11/22/2012 at 09:08 AM
Just as I predicted, Obama extracted major concessions from Israel on behalf of Hamas: Israel has agreed to ease the blockade of Gaza and stop targeted assassinations of Hamas leaders, exactly as I predicted. Of course, when Israel is unable to abide by these conditions, as inevitably will happen because they’re untenable, Hamas will have an excuse to resume its attacks. This is no peace agreement, even though Obama and Hilary Clinton will be taking credit for one.
For the present, Hamas has won: it can boast it extracted major concessions from Israel and the US and that it withstood Israel’s military might. Thank you, Hilary.
The US has no leverage over Hamas or its backer, Iran – only a military defeat can neutralize Hamas. The US can only threaten to withdraw aid from Egypt and Israel. Thus Morsi’s “cooperation,” which is tenuous and conditional, at best. How can Israel or the US expect a Muslim Brother leader, Morsi, who has openly called for the death of Jews and the destruction of Israel, to prevent attacks on Israel aimed at achieving those very goals?
As Obama did when he wanted to block Israel’s preparation for an attack on Iran prior to his election, Obama this time no doubt again threatened to cut off or slow Israel’s supply of parts for its US-made military jets, without which they would soon become inoperable. Thank you, Hilary.
Meanwhile, as of now, Israel has been hit by 12 rockets since the “truce” went into effect. Only Israel, of all the countries in the world, would be expected not to ignore the “truce” and defend itself.
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11/21/2012 at 10:04 PM
It is a conventional noise to say there is no military solution, uttered because it sounds like one is saying something. It sounds sage but is wrong.
If the IDF were to invade not all of Gaza but only the southern tip of it at Rafah, they could shut down the tunnels and end the smuggling of rockets and other weapons into
Gaza. It would also deprive Hamas of its main source of revenue.
Rafah could be defended against the rest of Gaza with the same kind of separation that now surrounds the rest of Gaza. Gaza’s southern border with Egypt is less than five miles long, shorter than the length of the Bay Bridge. A narrow Israeli-controlled strip that cut Gaza off from its weapons smuggling tunnels would stifle Gaza’s ability to attack Israel with rockets.
Once they ran out of their current supply of rockets, there would be no re-supply.
The situation would be the opposite of the buffer zone on the Lebanese border. There the problem was that Hezbollah had open supply routes. Gaza would not.
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